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WildFireCan-MMD: A Multimodal Dataset for Classification of User-Generated Content During Wildfires in Canada

Sherritt, Braeden, Nejadgholi, Isar, Aivaliotis, Efstratios, Mslmani, Khaled, Amini, Marzieh

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Rapid information access is vital during wildfires, yet traditional data sources are slow and costly. Social media offers real-time updates, but extracting relevant insights remains a challenge. In this work, we focus on multimodal wildfire social media data, which, although existing in current datasets, is currently underrepresented in Canadian contexts. We present WildFireCan-MMD, a new multimodal dataset of X posts from recent Canadian wildfires, annotated across twelve key themes. We evaluate zero-shot vision-language models on this dataset and compare their results with those of custom-trained and baseline classifiers. We show that while baseline methods and zero-shot prompting offer quick deployment, custom-trained models outperform them when labelled data is available. Our best-performing custom model reaches 84.48% f-score, outperforming VLMs and baseline classifiers. We also demonstrate how this model can be used to uncover trends during wildfires, through the collection and analysis of a large unlabeled dataset. Our dataset facilitates future research in wildfire response, and our findings highlight the importance of tailored datasets and task-specific training. Importantly, such datasets should be localized, as disaster response requirements vary across regions and contexts.


GLOFNet -- A Multimodal Dataset for GLOF Monitoring and Prediction

Fatima, Zuha, Sohaib, Muhammad Anser, Talha, Muhammad, Sultana, Sidra, Kanwal, Ayesha, Perwaiz, Nazia

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Glacial Lake Outburst Floods (GLOFs) are rare but destructive hazards in high mountain regions, yet predictive research is hindered by fragmented and unimodal data. Most prior efforts emphasize post-event mapping, whereas forecasting requires harmonized datasets that combine visual indicators with physical precursors. We present GLOFNet, a multimodal dataset for GLOF monitoring and prediction, focused on the Shisper Glacier in the Karakoram. It integrates three complementary sources: Sentinel-2 multispectral imagery for spatial monitoring, NASA ITS_LIVE velocity products for glacier kinematics, and MODIS Land Surface Temperature records spanning over two decades. Preprocessing included cloud masking, quality filtering, normalization, temporal interpolation, augmentation, and cyclical encoding, followed by harmonization across modalities. Exploratory analysis reveals seasonal glacier velocity cycles, long-term warming of ~0.8 K per decade, and spatial heterogeneity in cryospheric conditions. The resulting dataset, GLOFNet, is publicly available to support future research in glacial hazard prediction. By addressing challenges such as class imbalance, cloud contamination, and coarse resolution, GLOFNet provides a structured foundation for benchmarking multimodal deep learning approaches to rare hazard prediction.


Personalized Reasoning: Just-In-Time Personalization and Why LLMs Fail At It

Li, Shuyue Stella, Bose, Avinandan, Brahman, Faeze, Du, Simon Shaolei, Koh, Pang Wei, Fazel, Maryam, Tsvetkov, Yulia

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Current large language model (LLM) development treats task-solving and preference alignment as separate challenges, optimizing first for objective correctness, then for alignment to aggregated human preferences. This paradigm fails in human-facing applications where solving a problem correctly is insufficient if the response mismatches the user's needs. This challenge intensifies in just-in-time scenarios where no prior user interaction history exists due to cold-start conditions or privacy constraints. LLMs need to identify what they don't know about user preferences, strategically elicit preference values through questioning, then adapt their reasoning processes and responses accordingly -- a complicated chain of cognitive processes which we term personalized reasoning. We introduce PREFDISCO, an evaluation methodology that transforms static benchmarks into interactive personalization tasks using psychologically-grounded personas with sparse preferences. Our framework creates scenarios where identical questions require different reasoning chains depending on user context, as optimal explanation approaches vary by individual expertise and preferences while maintaining factual accuracy. Evaluation of 21 frontier models across 10 tasks reveals 29.0% of naive personalization attempts produce worse preference alignment than generic responses, yet generic responses also fail to serve individual user needs effectively. These findings suggest personalized reasoning requires dedicated development rather than emerging naturally. PREFDISCO establishes personalized reasoning as a measurable research frontier and reveals fundamental limitations in current LLMs' interactive capabilities, providing a foundation for developing systems that can adapt to individual users in education, healthcare, and technical domains where personalization is critical.


The Robustness of Structural Features in Species Interaction Networks

Fard, Sanaz Hasanzadeh, Dolson, Emily

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Species interaction networks are a powerful tool for describing ecological communities; they typically contain nodes representing species, and edges representing interactions between those species. For the purposes of drawing abstract inferences about groups of similar networks, ecologists often use graph topology metrics to summarize structural features. However, gathering the data that underlies these networks is challenging, which can lead to some interactions being missed. Thus, it is important to understand how much different structural metrics are affected by missing data. To address this question, we analyzed a database of 148 real-world bipartite networks representing four different types of species interactions (pollination, host-parasite, plant-ant, and seed-dispersal). For each network, we measured six different topological properties: number of connected components, variance in node betweenness, variance in node PageRank, largest Eigenvalue, the number of non-zero Eigenvalues, and community detection as determined by four different algorithms. We then tested how these properties change as additional edges -- representing data that may have been missed -- are added to the networks. We found substantial variation in how robust different properties were to the missing data. For example, the Clauset-Newman-Moore and Louvain community detection algorithms showed much more gradual change as edges were added than the label propagation and Girvan-Newman algorithms did, suggesting that the former are more robust. Robustness also varied for some metrics based on interaction type. These results provide a foundation for selecting network properties to use when analyzing messy ecological network data.


Scaling Down Semantic Leakage: Investigating Associative Bias in Smaller Language Models

Smilga, Veronika

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Semantic leakage is a phenomenon recently introduced by Gonen et al. (2024). It refers to a situation in which associations learnt from the training data emerge in language model generations in an unexpected and sometimes undesired way. Prior work has focused on leakage in large language models (7B+ parameters). In this study, I use Qwen2.5 model family to explore whether smaller models, ranging from 500M to 7B parameters, demonstrate less semantic leakage due to their limited capacity for capturing complex associations. Building on the previous dataset from Gonen et al. (2024), I introduce a new dataset of color-focused prompts, categorized into specific types of semantic associations, to systematically evaluate the models' performance. Results indicate that smaller models exhibit less semantic leakage overall, although this trend is not strictly linear, with medium-sized models sometimes surpassing larger ones in leaking behavior. The dataset, the model generations, and the evaluation code are publicly available at https://github.com/smilni/semantic_leakage_project.


Inference in Partially Linear Models under Dependent Data with Deep Neural Networks

Brown, Chad

arXiv.org Machine Learning

I consider inference in a partially linear regression model under stationary $\beta$-mixing data after first stage deep neural network (DNN) estimation. Using the DNN results of Brown (2024), I show that the estimator for the finite dimensional parameter, constructed using DNN-estimated nuisance components, achieves $\sqrt{n}$-consistency and asymptotic normality. By avoiding sample splitting, I address one of the key challenges in applying machine learning techniques to econometric models with dependent data. In a future version of this work, I plan to extend these results to obtain general conditions for semiparametric inference after DNN estimation of nuisance components, which will allow for considerations such as more efficient estimation procedures, and instrumental variable settings.


Scalable mixed-domain Gaussian process modeling and model reduction for longitudinal data

Timonen, Juho, Lähdesmäki, Harri

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Gaussian process (GP) models that combine both categorical and continuous input variables have found use in longitudinal data analysis of and computer experiments. However, standard inference for these models has the typical cubic scaling, and common scalable approximation schemes for GPs cannot be applied since the covariance function is non-continuous. In this work, we derive a basis function approximation scheme for mixed-domain covariance functions, which scales linearly with respect to the number of observations and total number of basis functions. The proposed approach is naturally applicable to also Bayesian GP regression with discrete observation models. We demonstrate the scalability of the approach and compare model reduction techniques for additive GP models in a longitudinal data context. We confirm that we can approximate the exact GP model accurately in a fraction of the runtime compared to fitting the corresponding exact model. In addition, we demonstrate a scalable model reduction workflow for obtaining smaller and more interpretable models when dealing with a large number of candidate predictors.


Remote sensing framework for geological mapping via stacked autoencoders and clustering

Nagar, Sandeep, Farahbakhsh, Ehsan, Awange, Joseph, Chandra, Rohitash

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Supervised machine learning methods for geological mapping via remote sensing face limitations due to the scarcity of accurately labelled training data that can be addressed by unsupervised learning, such as dimensionality reduction and clustering. Dimensionality reduction methods have the potential to play a crucial role in improving the accuracy of geological maps. Although conventional dimensionality reduction methods may struggle with nonlinear data, unsupervised deep learning models such as autoencoders can model non-linear relationships. Stacked autoencoders feature multiple interconnected layers to capture hierarchical data representations useful for remote sensing data. This study presents an unsupervised machine learning-based framework for processing remote sensing data using stacked autoencoders for dimensionality reduction and k-means clustering for mapping geological units. We use Landsat 8, ASTER, and Sentinel-2 datasets to evaluate the framework for geological mapping of the Mutawintji region in Western New South Wales, Australia. We also compare stacked autoencoders with principal component analysis and canonical autoencoders. Our results reveal that the framework produces accurate and interpretable geological maps, efficiently discriminating rock units. We find that the accuracy of stacked autoencoders ranges from 86.6 % to 90 %, depending on the remote sensing data type, which is superior to their counterparts. We also find that the generated maps align with prior geological knowledge of the study area while providing novel insights into geological structures.


Sparse Variational Contaminated Noise Gaussian Process Regression with Applications in Geomagnetic Perturbations Forecasting

Iong, Daniel, McAnear, Matthew, Qu, Yuezhou, Zou, Shasha, Toth, Gabor, Chen, Yang

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

GPR models can also incorporate prior knowledge through selecting an appropriate kernel function. GPR commonly assumes a homoscedastic Gaussian distribution for observation noise because this yields an analytical form for the posterior predictive prediction. However, Bayesian inference based on Gaussian noise distributions is known to be sensitive to outliers which are defined as observations that strongly deviate from model assumptions. In regression, outliers can arise from relevant inputs being absent from the model, measurement error, and other unknown sources. These outliers are associated with unconsidered sources of variation that affect the target variable sporadically. In this case, the observation model is unable to distinguish between random noise and systematic effects not captured by the model. In the context of GPR under Gaussian noise, outliers can heavily influence the posterior predictive distribution, resulting in a biased estimate of the mean function and overly confident prediction intervals. Therefore, robust observation models are desired in the presence of potential outliers.


Locomotion as Manipulation with ReachBot

Chen, Tony G., Newdick, Stephanie, Di, Julia, Bosio, Carlo, Ongole, Nitin, Lapotre, Mathieu, Pavone, Marco, Cutkosky, Mark R.

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Caves and lava tubes on the Moon and Mars are sites of geological and astrobiological interest but consist of terrain that is inaccessible with traditional robot locomotion. To support the exploration of these sites, we present ReachBot, a robot that uses extendable booms as appendages to manipulate itself with respect to irregular rock surfaces. The booms terminate in grippers equipped with microspines and provide ReachBot with a large workspace, allowing it to achieve force closure in enclosed spaces such as the walls of a lava tube. To propel ReachBot, we present a contact-before-motion planner for non-gaited legged locomotion that utilizes internal force control, similar to a multi-fingered hand, to keep its long, slender booms in tension. Motion planning also depends on finding and executing secure grips on rock features. We use a Monte Carlo simulation to inform gripper design and predict grasp strength and variability. Additionally, we use a two-step perception system to identify possible grasp locations. To validate our approach and mechanisms under realistic conditions, we deployed a single ReachBot arm and gripper in a lava tube in the Mojave Desert. The field test confirmed that ReachBot will find many targets for secure grasps with the proposed kinematic design.